few minutes ago I just read the survey is now diffused El Comercio. Some new news has brought us this latest snapshot of flats Support: First, Lourdes seems to have consolidated in the 1 st place perhaps for purposes of missteps taken by Kouri's campaign in the last month as it is the Party candidate Barba Caballero.
other news from this survey is the difficulty to take off from Susana Villaran. A survey that their actual chances are minimal. This difficulty is fully plotted Villarán they do not go up a point while Humberto Lay has passed. This last fact (the appearance of Lay) can mean the final blow to any claim progressive. If Lay's candidacy consolidates in the coming weeks would be the big loser Susana Villaran but overall progress. Lay looks able to mediate between Lourdes and Kouri. In fact, in the last election was in 2nd place after winning Castañeda Losio.
is good to remember that the leader of National Restoration is popular in Lima since the elections of 2006 when with the push of evangelical organizations managed to overcome the fence and get two seats in the Congress. It is also true that the two congressmen National Restoration have been voting in Congress with APRA on many occasions, as well as the fact that they have not been involved in Things like. Rather they have kept a low profile so as not be a burden to Lay Sun may occur as a fresh application to two proposals terciadora antagonistic and confrontational as the Lourdes Flores and Alex Kouri. Faced with these alternatives super-familiar face appears Lay Sun rises within days approx. 600% vote intention. Lay
not have the stigma of Lourdes is right as against a large public sector, by contrast, appears as the evangelical pastor who shows open to all, is credible democratic, does not belong to the "'party" is not a "long face" is opposed to the always nasty Cipriani (which in this day and is a civic virtue) and is not associated with the power of the rich.
But it also appears opposed to Kouri is not related to corruption or the turncoat, and while maintaining old enough vitality and appear as a fresh set of politics to citizens rather eager young actors and new actors. Going against his candidacy is not associated with it effectively.
But what is his secret key is do you have any nominations? What are the keys to the candidacy of "good Chinese? Lay apparently follows the same formula of past successes, of Toledo, 2000, Humala, 2006: strongly appear briefly, then disappear for a good period of time, and finally appear again in an electoral scenario apparently "busy" (and crossfire) showing themselves to positions out sider. Let's see. Toledo
appeared in the 1995 elections had a ceiling of 15% after low, to almost disappear. Then, on the basis of 1995 reappeared in 2000 and was hailed as "new," in which his novel? It seems to be perceived as "new" because in his 1 st appearance was not related to a particular party. This, together with features people out sider (an internationally successful cholo) and stance catapulted him out sider in 2000 and never stopped until 2001.
Something similar happened with Humala, appeared in 2000 at the end of the Fujimori government. After Lucumba simply disappeared until 2006. In the 2006 elections, appeared several months with 1% (as Toledo in 2000 and Lay at this time), but 2 X 3 (within 4 months) rose to 1 place, won the 1 st round and was within 3 points pair achieve 50% + 1 needed to become President of Peru. The 1st time it appeared in 2000 was not associated with any particular party and when it appeared in 2006 did show signs out sider and a stand out sider face a mess of white "Alan Lourdes Vs. Like Toledo, 2000 (Fujimori and Castañeda Andrade Vs) and Lay today (Kouri Vs Lourdes).
Lay Pastor (and evangelical ministry can be seen as part of its position out sider) follows the same way, probably without intending or what is better, perhaps even unknowingly. Appeared in 2006 with enough force to make yourself known. And in this first appearance is not associated with any party (not even to his own). Four years later reappears in a matter of days climbing to 3 rd place and starts scaring Lourdes pointers and Kouri. However, Lay Sun is missing something to emulate both Toledo Humala. Lay
A missing something to end to emulate the successful 2000 and Humala Toledo 2006. It lacks polish out sider a profile that seems to be the ultimate test launch it to the big leagues. Having difficulty: his age, more than 70 years as understand. But against this has strengths: it is not related to a party (or to your own) and in any case is plotted leadership that is not enclosed in a game but his small party depends on it. Also, Lay Sun is the public image of the weight (as Paniagua was in its time), an anti-corruption discourse that comes from it can hit its public image since it allows, is not associated with the usual, comes from Chinese, some called in 2006 "Good Chinese" .... And also appears in a scenario "full" applications confrontational. Would you be enough? "We will be sufficient to meet the mayor of Lima? It's early to tell. However, there would be a total surprise at what was said. Greetings. Edson Baldeón.
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