If any good can be drawn from the exclusion of Kouri of the campaign is that the dirty war is not going to be as much as if Kouri, will surely be hard, dirty and all, but Kouri would be worse.
The second is that this exclusion of polarization just Kouri Lourdes-Kouri: if there is no greater evil Why there should be a lesser evil?
In 3 rd place, increase swing votes in the coming days. Surely the undecided leaving the herd of Kouri will follow a couple of weeks, but it's hard to be where Lourdes in high proportion for the simple reason that most of the voters of Lourdes were adhered to contain Kouri, but now that Kouri is a lot of people may ask "Now why I'm voting for Lourdes?? Obviously and without detracting from Lourdes will have to rethink his campaign speech for decency vs. corruption seems exhausted both in Cataño (which is a reality) as output Kouri. What favor is she known Lourdes, and the people who voted for Kouri comes mainly from marginal areas, leaving some points Kouri go directly among the best known and there that something chape Lourdes, but I do not think many.
In 4 th place, the exclusion of Kouri could boost the candidacy of the other candidates, especially that of Susana Villar is already rising in the polls in recent days, following the scandal of Lourdes has received money from (a) Cataño a few weeks ago. In reality it is likely that the votes of Kouri allocated among all candidates, especially between Susan and Lay. Care with Lay now has more people coming from the popular sectors are finally defined the election, he could be the one favored by Fujimori and APRA.
In 5 th place, all candidates need to urgently rethink their campaigns to get votes of Kouri, and Lourdes will eventually lose. While the latter needs to rethink its campaign to keep the winnings., As it has very little room to convince the undecided.
In 6 º a more open setting, without the polarization Kouri vs Lourdes invited to delimit the central theme of the remainder of the season. Chance he will have the strength to define the axis campaign, as the former decency axis vs corruption has been almost exhausted, and in any case hereafter could be used against itself Lourdes (Chestnut weighs and weigh). The only ones that have the power to impose a new main theme at the moment are Susana Villaran and Lourdes Flores, especially the first one coming from behind, hard and find Lourdes without speaking of the greater evil (for Kouri) with which contained the other candidates. Kouri The exclusion can mean a pyrrhic victory for Lourdes Flores to have raised his campaign taking into account only Kouri as criticized weeks ago. Now, Lourdes has the challenge of accommodating the new electoral landscape. If you can do to win, and deserve to win it would have beaten Kouri and Susan, but if it fails to give a reading according to the electoral reality which makes moving your chips erratically lost and would be equally well-deserved defeat. I think at this moment Lourdes continues to have the upper hand and if you win or lose will be your responsibility. His voting record leaves room for doubt.
in 7 th place, it is important that both APRA would like Fujimori, because without Kouri they run out of candidates, and I do not abstain. What you can do is strengthen Lay, I think the latter would have more chance. Have against Lay time. If Susan does a certain polarization to Lourdes then there could be consolidated Lay.
At this point in the Campaign Command of Aunt Susy must be two certainties: 1 being the best moment so far in the campaign, and 2 with the imperative to go hunting for votes sectors. Susana
Villarán In my opinion still has a greater potential in the middle classes which will come to surface when they see a Social Force begins to grow in the popular sectors.
Getting to the grassroots? Here Sue is a twofold task: to reach and also convince to vote for her. Maybe a double play will be productive: Zoom
1, Lourdes people through the dissemination of conservative pro-rich vs cucufato popular sentiment and people's defense.
2 ° Approach people with a strategy of entertainment and education. Another measure to win over youth and working classes would stick to a strategy of entertainment. Its media presentations should be aimed at these people who are looking for entertainment policy. The poor work as a policy can not be seen but as an outlet for their everyday problems. Their own physical bodies asked to make their daily eutoexpandir their sensibilities affected by their work in a context of poverty, and this is achieved through entertainment. Not necessarily appeal to the reason why the reasoning is a bit tiring, physically tired to note that they are tired, your daily life is very tiring to come give me more chamba someone making me think. Therefore, he must link his candidacy to the entertainment if you go with some success to the popular. But the people of the popular sectors place their trust in those who make you feel to protect them, who will look after their interests, and has sufficient strength, insight, and street to get there. Confidence among the middle class has to do with honesty, decency, etc. but the trust between the classes has to do, besides this, also the ability of the custodian of such trust is smart enough, cunning and "travel" (clever, "fly") so they can defend their interests. Therefore a work of political teaching is important among the popular classes. But a modern teaching horizontal language. Susan is able to achieve this in better shape than Lay. Susana Lourdes before facing the final battle has to defeat Lay in the imagination of the popular sectors. In the survey today of Ýpsos Support is seen that Lay has more acceptance among the popular classes Susana. Furthermore, both the dome and the Fujimori APRA appear closer to Susan Lay.
Remember the doll "shower" of Valentin Paniagua. At no time this discredited Dr. Paniagua. Appealing to entertainment does not necessarily mean losing seriously. People understand very well that the central campaign is to develop a strategy for votes. And it looks good who does not understand this. Attend cutting popular programs does not mean losing seriously. Take advantage of all the spaces can also be a sign that being elected authority will do everything possible to achieve the objectives set, or as synonymous with political decision, courage, bravery and these are seen as virtues by the people below. For the reason that they always expect a change, any change that is significant enough to get them where they are. Do not really think, in reality to embarrass them think, just feel it and not clearly, but it's there you have it as a natural response to its daily toil. How else can appeal to entertainment? The images (and talk about the doll Chaparrón) are vital, what you see, you have to consider that merely to see on the screen must mean voter below some entertainment but that does not mean they will vote for you. They simply will be pleased and you then have to knit another strategy that you were pleased to vote for you. And they only vote for you if you are a winner. People generally below (and also those of medium and above) prefer to vote in reference to the winner, either supporting, or giving the counter. But always revolve reference to the figure of the winner. Sometimes support those listed as winners in their attempt to "share" the joy of the winners if only by not know what strange psychological procedure. Sometimes the attack to "share" the battle the pound counterweight which appears as if the candidate winning the counter-power "liaison" with their aspirations and be the hope, anger, jealousy, sacrifice, innovation, or any other feeling that is saved without knowing it, without even establishing why. Thus vote with or against Lourdes Lourdes, which could lead to possible bias or Lourdes to Susan Lay, depending on who I could excel.
Any successful strategy must move away from what people know, you think. Do not try to reinvent the wheel in an election campaign. And people do believe that Lourdes favors the rich, it is falling pituca and avocado and cucufato. Regardless of whether this is true or not this can be used in a campaign strategy. This idea must be crushed to have real effects among the popular classes and the youth. And it has to be until they invade social politics.
If Susan wants to win at Lourdes has to "close" the court. You have to raise the pitch that suits you: liberalism vs civic cucufatería, defending the working class vs. the candidate of the rich. Eye that never goes out of fashion among the popular sectors. With which also contains Lay. Susana
have to close the field polarizing the campaign between her and Lourdes, and thus to contain the third nomination. That people do not be fooled Social Forces, Lourdes is still favorite, I imagine that by now must have a potential of 40% with the addition of the candidacy of Lourdes (despite appearances) is down while Susan is uphill, it also has the pressure of winning and background in the output stage is flat, all of which can be exploited for Susana. Six weeks is more than enough to turn the match Susana. Susan has to take every possible space in the media. His first battle to win is called Humberto Lay, and later they will be with Lourdes. And to win both battles tine to support the popular classes. Can you?
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