opinion studies can be seen as manipulative, opinion formers public or as tools fectivamente reflect the opinion of a timely matter. I will not refer to the nature of the surveys but the comment appeared in the last few hours, the CPI (with some credibility) and the datum (with any credibility, given his background. Generally, I am guided by the results of Support I seem most respectable, or the PUCP.
But despite the unreliability of a survey, for example, of datum, must reflect some truth about any matter, within the range of error. Always is good to note that the nominations progreistas will fall within the error range (2 or 3 points) and related applications over to the media or the economic power it would rise a few points within the error range (2 or 3 points). At least, I read the polls. This with the polls "serious." So you have to take with tweezers numbers.
always useful surveys. Just know how to interpret. Can not read literally IDIC for example when we know that favors the APRA or who want to promote this game. DATUM must also be carefully observed, the same CPI.
Entering the final published results. Both CPI and DATUM are two signals which are of concern to Lourdes as Korui: 1 for the first time has stopped the constant rise of Lourdes since February 2010. and not only his rise has stopped but it has fallen, both the stop and the drop has happened in a matter of days is something of concern to Lourdes. and 2 that a third option (not Lourdes vs Kpouri first appeared) Susana Villaran up between about 80 and 120% of their voting intentions.
For 1 st time this season goes Susana Villaran up. Since the mayor presented the saw between 3 and 4%, but now it has jumped (in both surveys) to more than 8%. What is in short recent data from the last polls published? in my opinion means that for the first time opens the possibility of entry of a third party Susana Villar, and in 2 nd place these facts mean that the counter-campaigns do work.
against what they say Raul Vargas, these counter-campaigns have real effects and fast, so much so that when they launched attacks Kouri fell more than 10 points (some to more than 15 points) and when he attacked Lourdes not only stopped his constant promotion, but for 1 st time also down about 3 points in a few days (and eye we're talking about polls as CPI and DATUM who always Cultural UP generous with Lourdes) and Susan can be interpreted as a reorganization of its potential, I think Susan was relegated because they had no visibility and appeared as a wasted vote, but now that it has received more visibility, people start to see it begin to value and assess it positively. To the extent that if a cross out of race for reasons Kouri domicialiarios who would immediately jump Susana Villaran and that dispute finally be mayor of Lima Lourdes Flores and Susana Villaran thus change the focus of the debate leaving behind what Decency vs corruption by a duo: honesty vs. corruption and left vs. right. And then for the first time since February Lourdes would be likely to fight uphill sto quee risk mean to her.
And this is what is feared as the ranks of PPC. And so Aldo Mariçátegui both attacks. Not a day in which the wayward Director of Mail, Aldo M. not associated with extremism or violence if not with terrorism. What Susan is not sure, could be because it could not happen. Depend on the fate of Kouri, how to leave the trial of Cataño, and the reaction of APRA and I do not think Fujimorismo stay idly, especially depends on what you do or not do Susanna and her command campaign. Let's see how it goes. Carlos Roca at the moment just to show strong resistance to giving up his candidacy by APRA. I copy the video of yesterday, Monday, August 10 responds strongly to the dome and APRA said that his resignation as it is stated would be "impossible" to accept. In this video Carlos Roca also realizes that the APRA CEN spoke of "FAVOERECER A LOW AS Kouri." I also talk about the polls "You know how to handle the polls?" And also noted that the CEN APRA should not be appendix of the Political Committee and that it should not be "appendix" of the Presidency. So, Alan Garcia declared war. Let's see how this ends.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQO_qKSDRE Greetings. Edson
Baldeón
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